Atlanta 9-3 the last 12. The Phillies have lost 5-of-8. Cliff Lee in three starts has ERA and WHIP of 5.50 and 1.667. The Phillies bullpen failed them again. Craig Kimbrel will be well rested for the Braves. Cliff Lee has had only one strong outing in his three starts. Atlanta is a much better team. It is crazy that they are a big underdog.

Go against a starting pitcher who gives up .5 or fewer home runs per start after a game in which the bullpen gave up four or more earned runs is 916-828, +100.6 units.