Joe Duffy's Picks is 8-2 the last 10 Wise Guys with Wichita State the latest. We also had West Virginia to clinch a winning night. Today you get two Wise Guy plays among five winners. Tonight, we again demonstrate why being counterintuitive is a necessary trait for pro gamblers. We have a very under or overvalued team that we ride/fade tonight until the oddsmakers finally catch up to sharps. We have a couple of nice scheduling dynamics as well.

Joe Duffy's Picks also has a free winner tonight. It is a bonus winner.

Connecticut-Cincinnati UNDER 127

Our true line (previously known as outlaw line) is 122.5. The true line is what the line would be without public perception or bad line moves. Our power line has it at 123.

Cincinnati's games have gone under by an average of 11.4 points per game, so their 14-3 under mark it totally legit. Connecticut has gone under by an average of 3.4 points per game.

Cincinnati freshman Jermaine Lawrence is probable after missing eight games. He is a nice defensive force inside, making it a stronger bet if he does play.

Connecticut holds teams to 38.6 percent shooting from the field, which is a whopping 6.3 below their foes normal average. Cincinnati is even better holding squads normally averaging 44.6 percent to just 38.6.

The KenPom adjusted defense has Cincy with the fifth best in the country. Points will be very difficult to come by. Look for yet another under.