What is the term we have used all of the time to describe and successfully bet for and against Philip Rivers and QBs like him? Yes, he is predictably unpredictable. So as a big underdog off a loss is when he historically bounces back with a vengeance.

In a scheduling anomaly, Denver has played just three of their first eight games on the road. With just two road straight up wins, they are laying a huge number to a very good team. Their first road win was to a New York Giants team that struggled against everyone and still is 2-6 straight up in one of the worst divisions in sports history. Their other road win was in one of the wildest games in NFL history at Dallas. On the other hand, the Bolts have played just three of eight games at home.

Going with teams after five consecutive games where they forced one or fewer turnovers against opponent after a game where they committed three or more turnovers is 43-15 against the spread.

I would not read much into the John Fox situation from a handicapping standpoint. But when things are going well, two things a team does not need is for the bye week to interrupt their momentum and a change in stability. Denver just got both.

The Broncos are a dichotomous spread and straight up team. This means if a team is consistently winning outright but failing to cover or losing outright and covering, we ride the spread streak. This has proven to be a way to isolate over and undervalued teams. Though 7-1 straight up, they are 1-3 in their last four against the spread. Simply put, they are laying too many points because the oddsmakers are certainly charging retail price. We will bet against them at wholesale.