Wise Guy
(NCAAF) Oklahoma vs. Baylor,
Point Spread: 16.50 | -107.00 Oklahoma (Away)
Result: Loss
Thursday Night College Football Game of the Year

Baylor reminds me of the old joke: why does a dog lick his balls? Because they can. Baylor has run up the score on a bunch of teams because not only could they, but they needed style points.

Oklahoma is far and away the best team they have seen all year. In fact, most of the trusted sources I use for intel agree it is the toughest team against the pass and run on each side of the ball.

Toughest foe Baylor faced all season was Kansas State. They failed by seven points. According to the most accurate source Massey Ratings, Baylor has played the 114th toughest schedule compared to 48th for Okie.

Baylor uncharted waters times two: Trying to win a big game in December and facing a quality opponent. Best offense Baylor has seen was rebuilt WVU offense and WVU scored 42.

Oklahoma gets 58 more rushing yards per game than their opponents normally allow and Blake Bell improving at QB. For the first time all season Baylor QB Bryce Petty and his WRs face speedy DBs. Getting 495 on the moneyline is very tempting.

The tough part of the schedule is ahead for Baylor, which has yet to face Texas Tech, OSU and Texas. Good chance they will have at least one loss before then.

OU does best what Baylor does not want to face, a team that will keep their offense off the field. Opponents average 63.8 offensive plays against the Sooners this season, five plays per game less than any other Big 12 team. It is a big reason why OU sits atop the conference in yards allowed per game (314.3) and ranks second behind the Bears in points allowed (18.8).

The Sooners average 234 rushing yards per game and have leaned on that running game to carry the offense this season while their passing game has been inconsistent. Running the ball, controlling the clock and converting on third downs is a formula the Sooners used to defeat Texas Tech, 38-30, in their last gam