Most of my tested gambling theories have been proven correct by computer software. A decent number were washes. And once in a while, one proves the opposite. Nine of the last 11 Harvard games were on the road. So they would be a great play in a rare home game, toughened up by all those road games, right?

Wrong. Fading big home favorites in rare home game is 192-136-9. Going with horrible road teams in road games is 227 games above .500.