Pitcher with much worse ERA is a very good bet. This is a clear regression to the mean angle to the tune of +330 units. Yes it is in a mini-slump right now as all great angles will go in eventually. No worries, it will explode likely today. Home teams avoiding a sweep are +95.19 units for 6.7 ROI. When both apply, the ROI is 17.3 percent. Less successful pitcher based on season-to-date W-L record is +229 for 6.7 ROI.