Wise Guy
(NCAAF) Nevada vs. Colorado State,
Point Spread: 3.00 | 100.00 Nevada (Away)
Result: Win
Pre New Years Bowl Game of the Year

Colorado State enters much hotter on a four-game straight up and 3-1 against the spread streak, while Nevada lost their last two games. We have told you for decades that one of the big myths in handicapping is to go with a team that enters the bowls hotter. This has always been false as the rest hurts hot teams and benefits whichever teams need time to adjust.

We have a stunning 19-1 angle that does say go with the much colder team in bowl games and it applies just once this season. It is on Nevada. We have yet another angle that says to go with bowl teams with the substantially worse away winning percentage that is 58.1 percent, another myth buster.

Nevada has a good running game while CSU is vulnerable to the run.