We have an angle that says bad spread teams are 152-109 in bowls and another that says to go with the much colder team that is 122-81. When the two are combined it is a strong 26-14.

Utah State will travel 257 miles to Boise, compared to 1767 for Akron. This is a huge regional field advantage as we are wont to say. Utah State has also had a tougher strength of schedule.

Just fifth time team had a four-game spread losing streak versus an opponent four-game spread winning streak in a bowl game. The colder team (Utah State in this case) is 4-0 all time.