Regression to the mean angle that says go with horrid spread teams that is 79-49 against the spread. The NBA and NFL are big regression to the mean sports as pro athletes have not gotten this far without making adjustements.

Teams winning percentage of .150 or less at least 13 days rest and getting at least six points are 27-6, 20-4 if getting 7.5 or more 83.3 percent. Byes generally help teams that need time to regroup.

Packers off consecutive losses to undefeated teams and should have a letdown to worst team in the NFL. They will win, but struggle with bigger fish to fry as they play four straight games against the NFC North in a span of 19 days.

Green Bay has allowed 427 or more yards each last three games, which is perfect for grossly underachieving offense and rested to finally show some of their talent.