In college football, momentum is humungous. At the next level of play it is somewhat the opposite. Regression to the mean is the key. When one team is substantially worse than the other squad in terms of Margin of Cover season-to-date, going with the inferior team is 271-197-8.

Arizona has shown some chinks in the armor losing two of three. Ever Ravens game has been decided by six or less. Their record clearly should be better.