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(NBA) Washington vs. Chicago,
Point Spread: -1.00 | -104.00 Washington (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -1.00 | -104.00 Washington (Away)
Result: Loss
Joe Duffy's notepad for March 3 and a free pick. Of course the best picks are for our premium clients.
Lakers-Charlotte
Kemba Walker out for Charlotte, under 10-3 without him. They are 8-5 without him, though 2-4 the last six. The Lakers are 17-2 since May 29, 2009 on the road when they have a non-conference revenge game next. Charlotte second worst offensive efficiency in the last 15 games at 95.2 points per 100 possessions.
Boston-Cleveland
Boston Jared Sullinger out, 4-2 without him, over 4-1. Kyrie Irving probable for Cleveland. They are 1-3 without him, going under 3-1.
Games 56
PPG 21.7
RPG 3.3
SPG 1.5
BPG 0.3
APG 5.2
Cavs best net rating in the last 15 games +8.6.
Houston-Atlanta
Houston without James Harden and Dwight Howard. Harden is top SG in the NBA according to the Hollinger efficiency metrics and 6th best in NBA.
Games 59
PPG 27.1
RPG 5.8
SPG 1.9
BPG 0.8
APG 6.9
Houston has gone under five of the last seven without Harden, covering 4-of-5. Hawks Jeff Teague is probable. He is the 5th most efficient PG in the NBA.
Atlanta 16-1 off road win. Atlanta UNDER 14-1 at home versus a team that has committed an average of more than 7 referreed turnovers per game.
Utah-Memphis
Teams are 56-122-1 ATS 31.5 percent since Jan 02, 2009 as a dog with two or more days of rest after a game in which they had more turnovers than assists. Fade Jazz.
Memphis best defensive efficiency in the last 15 games allowing 96 points per 100 possessions. Jazz best net rating in their last five games 12.2.
Washington-Chicago
Bulls Pau Gasol will play, but Jimmy Butler is out. Over 4-0-1 without him. Butler is second most efficient SG in the NBA.
Games 55
PPG 20.2
RPG 5.9
SPG 1.7
BPG 0.6
APG 3.3
Bulls 4-10 without Derrick Rose
Teams are 62-116-5 34.8 percent since Feb 18, 2000 as a dog with two or more days of rest after a win when they are off a game in which they scored at least ten points more in the first quarter than they did in the fourth quarter. This says to fade Chicago. It is also 2-13 the last 15.
Teams gone OVER 71-25-3 74 percent since Feb 20, 2013 as a favorite after a game in which they had at least 10 shots blocked BULLS OVER
Sacramento-New York
Sacramento DeMarcus Cousins questionable to doubtful. They are 3-10 without him.
Games 43
PPG 23.7
RPG 12.2
SPG 1.4
BPG 1.7
APG 3.3
They are also without Darren Collison, though over five of the last six he's missed.
Knicks without Melo Anthony 4-7-1 minus him. Kings OVER 10-0 as favorites off consecutive home losses. Knicks OVER 11-0 as a home dog with at least one day of rest after playing at home after a win in which they made fewer baskets than their opponent.
Kings worst net rating in the last 15 games -11.5, Knicks third worst -7.2. Worst defensive efficiency allowing 107.6 points per 100 possessions.
Lakers-Charlotte
Kemba Walker out for Charlotte, under 10-3 without him. They are 8-5 without him, though 2-4 the last six. The Lakers are 17-2 since May 29, 2009 on the road when they have a non-conference revenge game next. Charlotte second worst offensive efficiency in the last 15 games at 95.2 points per 100 possessions.
Boston-Cleveland
Boston Jared Sullinger out, 4-2 without him, over 4-1. Kyrie Irving probable for Cleveland. They are 1-3 without him, going under 3-1.
Games 56
PPG 21.7
RPG 3.3
SPG 1.5
BPG 0.3
APG 5.2
Cavs best net rating in the last 15 games +8.6.
Houston-Atlanta
Houston without James Harden and Dwight Howard. Harden is top SG in the NBA according to the Hollinger efficiency metrics and 6th best in NBA.
Games 59
PPG 27.1
RPG 5.8
SPG 1.9
BPG 0.8
APG 6.9
Houston has gone under five of the last seven without Harden, covering 4-of-5. Hawks Jeff Teague is probable. He is the 5th most efficient PG in the NBA.
Atlanta 16-1 off road win. Atlanta UNDER 14-1 at home versus a team that has committed an average of more than 7 referreed turnovers per game.
Utah-Memphis
Teams are 56-122-1 ATS 31.5 percent since Jan 02, 2009 as a dog with two or more days of rest after a game in which they had more turnovers than assists. Fade Jazz.
Memphis best defensive efficiency in the last 15 games allowing 96 points per 100 possessions. Jazz best net rating in their last five games 12.2.
Washington-Chicago
Bulls Pau Gasol will play, but Jimmy Butler is out. Over 4-0-1 without him. Butler is second most efficient SG in the NBA.
Games 55
PPG 20.2
RPG 5.9
SPG 1.7
BPG 0.6
APG 3.3
Bulls 4-10 without Derrick Rose
Teams are 62-116-5 34.8 percent since Feb 18, 2000 as a dog with two or more days of rest after a win when they are off a game in which they scored at least ten points more in the first quarter than they did in the fourth quarter. This says to fade Chicago. It is also 2-13 the last 15.
Teams gone OVER 71-25-3 74 percent since Feb 20, 2013 as a favorite after a game in which they had at least 10 shots blocked BULLS OVER
Sacramento-New York
Sacramento DeMarcus Cousins questionable to doubtful. They are 3-10 without him.
Games 43
PPG 23.7
RPG 12.2
SPG 1.4
BPG 1.7
APG 3.3
They are also without Darren Collison, though over five of the last six he's missed.
Knicks without Melo Anthony 4-7-1 minus him. Kings OVER 10-0 as favorites off consecutive home losses. Knicks OVER 11-0 as a home dog with at least one day of rest after playing at home after a win in which they made fewer baskets than their opponent.
Kings worst net rating in the last 15 games -11.5, Knicks third worst -7.2. Worst defensive efficiency allowing 107.6 points per 100 possessions.
