Major
(NBA) Toronto vs. Atlanta,
Point Spread: 5.50 | -107.00 Toronto (Away)
Result: Win
The Hawks regression to the mean has begun. No longer the hunter, now the hunted, the every-game-is-a-playoff-intensity has waned. They are now dichotomous spread and straight up team. This means if a team is consistently winning outright but failing to cover or losing outright and covering, we ride the spread streak. This has proven to be a way to isolate over and undervalued teams.

They are 4-6 the last 10 despite a 43-11 straight up mark.