Obviously both teams are in tough turnarounds off losses to quality teams, but Virginia is in a big bubble burst. Every angle we can look up tells us that teams, especially undefeated ones, are extremely vulnerable after having a very long winning streak snapped.

Off their first loss of the season, Virginia now plays at North Carolina a very good team. The Cavaliers struggled uncharacteristically with their transition defense against Duke, which is a concern against a North Carolina team that loves to run the secondary break. The Cavaliers lead the nation in scoring defense, but the Blue Devils shot 50.9 percent from the floor, snapping Virginia streak of 43 straight games in which it held opponents under 50 percent.