The Hawks have the best against the spread record and Margin of Cover in the NBA. As a team that has a long history of mediocrity so there will be no letdown. They are playing with a playoff intensity and have covered 18-of-19. Six of the covers are by 12 or more. Yes when a team has six covers by 12.5 or more and one spread loss in that span, the oddsmakers are clearly behind them. Indiana has failed in seven straight with two of the last four by at least 11.5.

The Pacers have obviously been ravaged by injuries. Though they have slowly gotten healthier, starting point guard George Hill has missed the last 10 games with a strained groin. Even if he comes back remember teams often have one step back before taking two steps forward.

Atlanta allows just 96.3 points per game, the fewest in the NBA, and ranks fourth in opponent field goal percentage.