Wise Guy
(NFL) Indianapolis vs. Denver,
Point Spread: -7.50 | -115.00 Denver (Home)
Result: Loss
Yes we have faded Peyton Manning in big games, but this is too early. Indianapolis has devolved into a one-dimensional team and that will cost them in trying to keep up with Denver.

Though temperatures will be surprisingly mild considering how the rest of the country is, it will still benefit Denver hosting a dome team. Colder would be better but it will be in the lower 40s, perhaps 30s.

The Broncos will benefit as much as anyone from the rest as an injured Peyton Manning will benefit from the time off.

With Emmanuel Sanders, Demaryius Thomas, Julius Thomas and that Wes Welker the Broncos are very deep at WR and will get favorable matchups where they can avoid Vontae Davis. Denver has the much better pass rush, so only Luck will struggle to get time to throw.

In the postseason, Luck is 2-0 with five touchdown passes and three interceptions at home and 0-2 with a .505 completion percentage, two touchdowns and three interceptions in visiting stadiums.

The last three years Denver is outscoring teams by 14.7 at home.