The Hawks have clearly been the shock of the NBA, the Pistons have turned around their season winning and covering seven straight after a 5-23 straight up 8-20 against the spread so unlike the Hawks, they are staying under the radar. Each of the Pistons seven covers are by 9.5 or more, 5-of-7 by at least 13. On the other hand the oddsmakers are starting to catch up to Atlanta as four of their last seven covers have been by 1.5 or less, another by six.

There is more rare than one would think and the data is limited. However just about any angle we ran with home underdogs this hot slightly favor the home underdog.