Going against road teams off win as home underdogs is 280-187 for z-score of 4.25. The Falcons have been horrible outdoors with a 2-10 straight up mark the last two years. Since the relax demand from Aaron Rogers, the Packers are 7-2 to the number with five by 14.5 or more. Atlanta has failed in 6-of-9 three times by 15 or less. Yes they have failed by at least 15 as many times as they have covered in their last nine.

The best Atlanta weapon is Devin Hester but the way the Pack offense measures up against the horrid defense of Atlanta, do not look for many punt returns.

The Birds are 0-3 against the NFC North this season and are 0-4 on the road against teams outside of the NFC South. Throw in the fact that the Packers are 6-0 at home and average 40.8 points per game in those wins and it all has the makings of a disaster for the Falcons.

Matt Ryan has a QBR of 13.1 higher at home and he has some of the most pronounced splits in the NFL. It is 11 points higher outdoors than indoors. This game gets really ugly.