As home underdogs 7.5 or more are 221-159-4. Remember this is the equivalent of a road underdog of 13.5 or more which are 165-118-8. So this means very big underdogs are 109 games above .500 against the spread, nothing to sneeze at.

We originally stayed away because of the roll that Aaron Rogers is on, but one of our best and very few trusted sources has a strong bet on Minnesota, putting us over the top. So it is corroborated by an outsourced pick, previous called a competitor consensus, but renamed to more accurately reflect the parameters. If we have a lean one way and one of the few sports services or sources we respect has a big pick on a certain side or if we are neutral on a pick, but at least two elite sources or contacts have a bet sans any conflicting bets from said sources, it is a bet for us as an outsourced pick.