PREMIUM
Major
(NFL) Washington vs. San Francisco,
Point Spread: -8.50 | -108.00 San Francisco (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: -8.50 | -108.00 San Francisco (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a Performance Gap Analysis pick.
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
This says that a team with a bad turnover rate and an inefficient defense is a very undervalued team to the tune of 1179-985-46. Philadelphia has returned to being fantastic at home. Eagles 5-0 home straight up 4-1 against the spread by 15.4 points per game. The Tits are not a tough foe.
Titans off tough MNF loss, taking defeat from the jaws of victory, so the short week will hurt this fragile team. Angry Eagles will take out frustrations of a humiliating loss to Green Bay. Eagles lead league in snaps, second in offensive ones, so they will have opportunities to pile the points up.
Titans inability to stop LeVeon Bell, who carried that ball 33 times for 204 yards, the most by a running back in the NFL this season. Again they must make adjustments in a short week to a high powered offense.
Eagles center Jason Kelce and left guard Evan Mathis returned last week. Yes RG Matt Tobin is questionable but it looks like Philly will finally have some continuity to the big uglies.
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
This says that a team with a bad turnover rate and an inefficient defense is a very undervalued team to the tune of 1179-985-46. Philadelphia has returned to being fantastic at home. Eagles 5-0 home straight up 4-1 against the spread by 15.4 points per game. The Tits are not a tough foe.
Titans off tough MNF loss, taking defeat from the jaws of victory, so the short week will hurt this fragile team. Angry Eagles will take out frustrations of a humiliating loss to Green Bay. Eagles lead league in snaps, second in offensive ones, so they will have opportunities to pile the points up.
Titans inability to stop LeVeon Bell, who carried that ball 33 times for 204 yards, the most by a running back in the NFL this season. Again they must make adjustments in a short week to a high powered offense.
Eagles center Jason Kelce and left guard Evan Mathis returned last week. Yes RG Matt Tobin is questionable but it looks like Philly will finally have some continuity to the big uglies.
