This total is high, but I expect 12+ runs in this one. Dallas Keuchel has an 11.74 ERA in two career starts at Coors Field. Keuchel is also well past his prime, posting an 8.22 ERA in his last 26 road appearances dating back to 2021. Keuche will be facing a Colorado offense that is much better at home, where they rank 7th in MLB runs scored per game.
On the other hand, the Rockies will be sending out Ryan Feltner, who has posted a 7.43 home ERA and 7.06 ERA in night games this season. Behind Feltner is a bullpen that has a 5.70 home ERA.
I love the over here.

4% on Over 11
3% on Over 11.5