The Phillies have won the last four home starts made by Christopher Sanchez. Their home record stands at an MLB-best 25-7 as a home favorite this season. The moneyline might be a bit high, but I'm confident in the Phillies in this spot. Due to the Phillies' consistent one-run wins under Sanchez and the Padres' strong run-line record as a road dog, I will just take Philadelphia straight up.

The Phillies are 6-0 in their last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record and the Padres have lost seven straight road games when facing a left-handed starter.

2.5% on Phillies ML