The line was released at Lamar -8.5 on BetOnline, and I see them winning by double digits. New Orleans pulled off an upset to be here, but it doesn't match up well. New Orleans is 310th in adjusted offensive efficiency and 351st on defense, while Lamar is 207th on offense and 214th on defense.
New Orleans is just 6-13 ATS in conference games this season. Lamar is 12-6 ATS in the conference. Lamar also won the two head-to-head meetings this season, 98-73 and 94-72, despite only being a single-digit favorite in each game. This should be a 12+ Lamar victory.
2.5% on Lamar