The Mets are up 2-1 in this series, but the momentum seems to be so much stronger in their direction. The Phillies matched up better on paper in both of the loses they suffered to the Mets going in, and I see the scales tipped toward New York in Game 4.

Jose Quintana has been dominant with a 0.64 ERA in 7 starts since August 25 including the postseason. What is even more impressive is that Quintana has also not allowed a home runs since August 20. The Phillies starter Ranger Suarez has been trending in the wrong direction with a 6.49 ERA in his last in his last six starts.

2.5% on the Mets