The set-up: The Lakers are a team led by the best basketball talent on Earth, but which is still trying to find its identity on most nights. That's understandable, as chemistry takes time to develop. Regardless, LA will be out to atone for a 108-104 home loss to Orlando on Sunday. The Nuggets on the other hand return home off a successful road trip and a 105-98 win at OKC on Saturday. Can anyone say "letdown spot?!" LA averages 114.2 PPG and it allows 112.7. Denver averages 109.9 points and it allows 103.2.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but LA is already 4-1 ATS this year vs. teams with winning records, while Denver is just 4-5 ATS this season vs. teams with winning records and a poor 7-13 ATS in its last 20 after three or more SU wins. Grab the points, expect a "nail biter!"