The Guardians took two of three from the Royals in KC at the end of June, outscoring them 19-6. In their home series opener, they'll send out their impressive rookie Bibee who has certainly been trending in the right direction in his last three games, allowing three runs, then one, then finishing with a shutout, pitching five or more innings in each start. The Guardians' bullpen is generally very solid, but especially so at home this year. Their 2.18 ERA is less than half the Royals relievers' road ERA. The rookie will face the Royals' Lyles (1-11, 6.68 ERA). Lyles improved in June, finishing with a 5.40 ERA. He gave up four and three runs in his last two starts, but as his record would suggest, he doesn't get a ton of run or relief support. He has a very poor road ERA of 8.02 this year.

The 3-7 Royals were just swept by the Twins, are second last in OPS over the last two weeks, and are 12-30 in road games this season. The Guardians are hitting 40 points higher for average and 70 points higher in OPS over the last two weeks. Cleveland is a heavy favorite, but a very strong option on the run line. Take the Guardians at -1.5.