Probable starter Walker has been on fire for the Phillies lately with 5 straight wins with 1 or less earned runs in each outing. His June ERA and WHIP were 1.50 and 0.89 respectively. Even without all the other supporting evidence he would be a great pick in this game. It looks like the Rays will have a bullpen game with Littell starting his second game of the year. His ERA and WHIP are respectable (3.63 and 1.07 respectively) but the rest of his bullpen does not compare to the Phillies bullpen over the last 3 games. The Phillies have a miniscule 1.57 ERA and 0.73 WHIP over that span while the Rays are 3.63 and 1.07 over the same span.

Both teams are hitting in the top third of the majors with the Phillies a few places above the Rays over the last 15 days.

Some other startling stats are the Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 vs. RHP starters on the road, 12-1 in their last 13 road games (including a win over the Rays on Tuesday night) and 20-7 in their last 27 overall. The Rays are in a bit of a skid lately as they are a mediocre 5-5 in their last 10 and have lost 3 in a row. Not sure why the Phillies are the underdog in this but I won’t complain. Jump on this pick quick and take the Phillies on the money line.