The set-up: Does anyone think that TCU is going to find a way to lose this one outright, or in any other way but in blowout fashion? I'm expecting a lop-sided destruction from start to finish and I therefore have no issues at all in laying this larger spread. The Horned Frogs smashed Southern 55-7 last week, while SMU fell 46-23 at North Texas.

The teams: TCU QB Shawn Robinson was 17 of 24 for 182 yards and three TD's last week. RB Darius Anderson had 36 yards last week after finishing with 768 last year. TCU averaged 33.7 PPG last season and the offense will once again be a strength this year as well. But not to be outdone, the defense was even better for the Horned Frogs, allowing only 19 PPG.

SMU averaged 37.8 PPG last season, but it would unfortunately allow 36.7 at the same time. Last week the Mustangs allowed 530 total yards to the Mean Green. Also note that QB Ben Hicks' numbers are skewed, as most of his stats came in garbage time, finishing with 252 passing yards, two TD's and an INT.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but SMU is 0-4 ATS in its last four after allowing more than 280 passing yards in its previous game, while TCU is 4-1 ATS in its last five on field turf. After giving up 46 points to North Texas last week, look for the Mustangs to fail miserably here again. Lay the points.