The set-up: Miami has struggled on the road and while its starting pitcher Jose Urena has likely done better than what his record would indicate, I still think he's in over his head here. Baltimore and Kevin Guasman will now look to take advantage of this favorable interleague contest.

The pitchers: Urena is 1-8 with a 4.59 ERA so far. Urena most recently allowed three runs off six hits and no walks with five strikeouts over six innings in a loss to the Friars on Sunday. Urena has had many unfortunate losses this season due to lack of run support and note that he comes into this one with a poor 5.27 ERA on the road.

Gausman is so far 3-5 with a 4.58 ERA. Gausman comes in off a decent outing as well, giving up three earned runs off nine hits with six strikeouts over seven innings in a no-decision to Toronto on Saturday. Gausman has admittedly been "hit or miss" this year, but he does come in with a sharp 2.91 ERA in all night games to this point.

The pick: Both teams have been terrible in almost every statistical category there is, but this one for me comes down to the starting pitching and the home field advantage. A great price in my opinion, play on the Orioles.