The set-up: The Braves ended the Dodgers' 11-game winning streak with a 6-3 win over LA Thursday night at Dodger Stadium and then 'lit up' Alex Wood for nine runs (seven earned) over just 4 2/3 innings of a second straight Atlanta win, 12.3 (Wood entered the game 11-0 with a 11.56 ERA). Lefty Jaime Garcia not only tossed seven strong innings but also belted a grand slam in Friday's win, as the Braves improved to 7-2 in their last nine road games and to on the season. As for LA, after going 31-4 over a 35-game stretch, LA is now looking to avoid a third straight loss.

The pitching matchup: Julio Teheran (7-7 & 4.69 ERA) starts for Atlanta and Rich Hill (6-4 & 3.55 ERA) for Los Angeles. Teheran was always an excellent home pitcher for Atlanta but a move to the team's new home, SunTrust Park, has not been to Teheran's liking. He's an abysmal 1-7 with 7.05 ERA in 10 starts (Braves are 2-8). However, on the road, Teheran's an outstanding 6-0 with a 2.53 ERA in nine starts (Braves are 7-2). The bad news (for Brave fans) here is, Teheran is 0-6 with a 6.47 ERA in seven career starts versus the Dodgers (Atlanta is 0-7). Hill battled blister problems for most of 2016 (first with Oakland and then LA) and it was much of the same early in 2017. However, he has posted a 1.74 ERA and 44-to-6 KW ratio over his last five starts covering 31 innings (he's 3-1 and the Dodgers are 4-1). What's more, Hill owns a 3-0 record and 1.89 ERA in seven career games (five starts / teams are 4-1) against the Braves.

The pick: Am I somewhat concerned over Teheran's ugly LT mark against LA? Yes, but his 2.53 ERA in nine 2017 road starts trumps that. Then there is Hill, who has been on a roll since mid-June. Make the Under a 10* play.