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(MLB) Colorado vs. NY Mets,
Money Line: -140.00 NY Mets (Home)
Result: Win
The set-up: The Mets opened the 2017 season off a World Series appearance in 2015 and an 87-win 2016 season (NL wild card) while the Rockies last had a winning record in 2010 and came into this season having averaged a modest 70 wins per, over that six-year drought. However, as all teams return from the four-day All Star break, it's the Rockies who are 'smelling' the 2017 playoffs, not the Mets. Yes, Colorado lost has 13 of 18 heading into the break but while they are 9 1/2 games back of the NL West-leading Dodgers, the team's 52-39 record gives them a 7 1/2 game cushion over the Cubs for the NL's second wild card spot. In stark contrast, the 39-47 Mets are 12 games back of the Nats in the NL East and almost as far back in the wild card standings (10 1/2 back).

The pitching matchups; Jon Gray (2-0 & 3.75 ERA) will start for Colorado and Jacob deGrom (9-3 & 3.65 ERA) for New York in a matchup of ace right-handers. Gray has been limited to just five starts in 2017 but has won both his starts since returning from an 11-week absence due to a stress fracture in his left foot. He earned the victory in his most recent outing on July 5, giving up three runs (two earned) over 5 2/3 innings as the Rockies defeated the Cincinnati Reds, 5-3. Gray allowed five ERs in his 2017 debut (4/3) but in his other four, owns a 2.25 ERA. DeGrom has been the only Mets starter to remain on the field and meet expectations this season. Opening Day starter Noah Syndergaard (lat) and former ace Matt Harvey (shoulder) remain on the shelf. DeGrom won his fifth straight start in his most recent appearance last Friday, when he allowed four runs over seven innings as the Mets beat the Cardinals, 6-5. He has a 1.62 ERA in the five consecutive wins.

The pick: Colorado's recent woes remain a concern and the jury is still out on Gray (is he 100% healthy?), as the second half opens. It's a small sample size but Gray does own a 6.13 ERA in three career starts vs. the Mets. In contrast, deGrom owns an 0.95 ERA in four career starts against the Rockies and does come in off five straight wins, pitching seven-plus inning in each one. Make the Mets a 10* play.