The set-up: The 2-1 Toronto Argonauts and 1-1 Winnipeg Blue Bombers meet Thursday at Investors Group Field in Winnipeg. Toronto QB Ricky Ray has completed 70.1 percent of his passes for 1,199 yards with four TDs and just one interception. He may have had just one TD pass in last week's home win over Hamilton but he threw for 506 yards and did not throw an INT in 41 pass attempts, while leading the Argos to 32 points. The defense was excellent, holding the Tiger-Cats to 15 points on 258 yards with just 12 FDs. Toronto is allowing 22.7 points and 361 YPG after three games (more on that later). Winnipeg opened with a 43-40 OT win at Saskatchewan but then returned home to lose 29-10 to Calgary. QB Matt Nichols threw for 331 yards with four TDs and just one INT in beating the Roughriders but was not nearly as good against Calgary, with two INTs and one TD pass, while leading the Blue Bombers to just 10 points!

The pick: Winnipeg was the much better team last year at 11-7 (Toronto was just 5-13) but the defense has allowed 34.5 PPG, almost 10 point higher than last year's 25.2 PPG allowed. Meanwhile, Toronto allowed a league-high 568 points (31.6 per) in going 5-13 last season but checks in after three games in 2017 in allowing 22.7 PPG. The Argonauts have looked sharp to open the season but back-to-back road games on short rest is always a worry. Yes. Toronto was no match for Winnipeg last season (Blue Bombers won 46-29 and 34-17) but it's a new season. Also, don't ignore the fact that the Blue Bombers are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. Make Toronto a 10* play.