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(MLB) Philadelphia vs. NY Mets,
Money Line: -167.00 NY Mets (Home)
Result: Win
The set-up: The Mets salvaged a just-completed 10-game road trip with a 5-5 record with five wins in their final six contests. They kept their positive mojo intact last night as well, behind a strong seven-inning effort by Jacob deGrom. DeGrom struck out 12 and teamed with three relievers to hold the top five hitters in Philadelphia's lineup to a combined 0-for-19 in a 2-1 New York win. The Mets can secure their third straight series win with a victory today (or Sunday) vs Philadelphia, which is 3-4 on its current nine-game road trip. Actually, that's pretty good for the Phillies, who own MLB's worst road record (12-32), its worst overall record (26-52) and its second-worst moneyline mark (minus-$1949).

The pitching matchup: Jeremy Hellickson (5-5 & 4.40 ERA) takes the mound for Philadelphia and Zack Wheeler (3-5 & 5.29) ERA) for the Mets. Hellickson has rebounded from a rough stretch to post back-to-back solid efforts, allowing a total of two runs on nine hits over 13 innings (1.38 ERA). However, Hellickson remains win-less in his last seven outings (he's 0-4 and the team is 1-6). Hellickson has yet to face the Mets this year but struggled against them in 2016, giving up 21 runs in 24 1/3 innings (7.77 ERA) spread over five starts. That leaves him with an 8.21 ERA against the Mets in seven career starts (he's 2-4 and his teams 3-4). Wheeler was on a roll (had allowed just 11 ERs over seven starts) before he gave up 15 runs in only 3 2/3 innings over two starts on June 13 and 19. He was promptly placed on the disabled list after that but is ready to pitch again, here on July 1. He was 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA in two outings against the Phillies in April (Mets were 1-1) and is 3-1 with a 3.07 ERA in seven career starts versus Philly (Mets are 4-3).

The pick: The Phillies won eight of Hellickson's first nine starts in 2017 but that's all in the past now, as they've lost six of his last seven, including the last two when he pitched well (see above). The Mets are far from a juggernaut these days (37-42) but they have won 13 of their last 18 meetings with the Phillies and let's not forget Philly's road record of 12-32 in 2017. Make the Mets an 8* play.