Rogers' 10* TOP TOTALS TICKET >> SWEPT Sunday! RIDICULOUS 108-59-3 L45 Days!
(MLB) Boston vs. Kansas City,
Total: 9.50 | 102.00 Over
Result: Win
The set-up: The Royals saw their six-game winning streak end Saturday in Anaheim but made it seven wins in their last eight contests with Sunday's 7-3 win over the Angels. KC concluded the team's road trip at 7-2 and has closed within 3 ½ games of first-place Cleveland in the AL Central at 33-35. The Royals return home to open the new week by meeting Boston for the first time this season, after taking four of six in 2016. The Red Sox took two of three at major league-best Houston over the weekend, including Sunday's 6-5 victory. Boston (39-30) has won seven of its last 10 games, moving into a virtual tie with the rival New York Yankees for first place in the AL East (Yanks have lost six in a row to fall to 38-29).

The pitching matchup: Hector Velazquez (1-1 & 6.48 ERA) gets the nod for Boston and Jason Hammel (3-6 & 5.05 ERA) for Kansas City. Velazquez will make just his second major-league start after holding Philadelphia scoreless on one hit and one walk over 3 1/3 innings on Wednesday to record the victory in relief. His first career start didn't go well, as he gave up six runs on nine hits (including three HRs) over five innings against Oakland back on May 18. Jason Hammel signed with KC as a free agent in the off season and a quick look at his record tells a sad story. The Royals have lost 10 of his 13 starts and his moneyline mark of minus-$584 ranks 240th of 249 starters in 2017. Hammel is 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA in 13 career appearances (six starts / teams are 2-4) versus the Red Sox.

The pick: However, looking a little closer at Hammel gives one a slightly different perspective. After a dreadful two months, he's opened June with three consecutive quality starts. which includes a pair of wins and a 2.21 ERA in that stretch. He has a 15-1 KW ratio in 20 1/3 innings during June. As for Velazquez, one has to look past his only previous big league start (a May 18 disaster) and note that he's off a 3 1/3-inning scoreless relief effort in his last outing plus owned a 1.29 ERA in nine outings in Triple-A Pawtucket this season before being called up. I'll make the Under a 10* play.