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(MLB) Cincinnati vs. Tampa Bay,
Money Line: -140.00 Tampa Bay (Home)
Result: Loss
Money Line: -140.00 Tampa Bay (Home)
Result: Loss
The set-up: The Reds stood in third place in the NL Central in games played through June 8 (just two games out of first) but went 0-6 on a West Coat swing through LA and SD. Cincy made a quick 'pit stop' at homs this weekend (again, against the Dodgers) but fared no better, getting swept. The Reds are now 29-39 (7 1/2 games out of first) and have lost nine in a row overall. They also find themselves back on the road for the next seven games, where they will try to avoid the team's first 10-game road losing streak since 1998 on Monday when they play the first of three against the Tampa Bay Rays. Tampa's five HRs on Sunday led the way to a 9-1 victory over Detroit, as the Rays earned a split of their four-game road series with the Tigers. Taht leaves them 37-35 and just 3 1/2 games back in the AL East (it's helped that the Yanks have lost six in a row!). The Rays have won seven of their last nine at home to reach 21-15 at Tropicana Field on 2017.
The pitching matchup: Scott Feldman (5-5 & 4.29 ERA) gets the start for the Reds and Jake Odorizzi (4-3 & 3.77 ERA) for the Rays. Feldman lost 6-2 in San Diego last Tuesday (four ERs over innings), which ended his three-game winning streak. He has been markedly worse on the road (2-3, 5.58 ERA) than in Cincinnati (3-2, 3.45) and is 4-3 with a 3.05 ERA in 17 career games (seven starts / teams are 4-3) versus the Rays. In contrast, Odorizzi squares off against Cincinnati for the first time. Odorizzi has pitched well at home in 2017, going with a 3.11 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in starts (Rays are), while allowing hitters to bat only .213 against him. Odorizzi carries a 6-3 record with a 3.12 ERA in 15 interleague starts into this game.
The pick: Cincinnati starting pitchers are 0-6 with an 8.29 ERA during the Reds' nine-game losing streak and Feldman's road owes (5.58 ERA and 1.60 WHIP) hardly give us any reason to think Cincy's pitching will improve. Let's also note that the right-handed Feldman faces a Tampa Bay lineup which owns the second-best record in the AL against right-handed starters (29-19) and the second-worst mark in the AL against lefties (8-16). Make Tampa Bay an 8* play.
The pitching matchup: Scott Feldman (5-5 & 4.29 ERA) gets the start for the Reds and Jake Odorizzi (4-3 & 3.77 ERA) for the Rays. Feldman lost 6-2 in San Diego last Tuesday (four ERs over innings), which ended his three-game winning streak. He has been markedly worse on the road (2-3, 5.58 ERA) than in Cincinnati (3-2, 3.45) and is 4-3 with a 3.05 ERA in 17 career games (seven starts / teams are 4-3) versus the Rays. In contrast, Odorizzi squares off against Cincinnati for the first time. Odorizzi has pitched well at home in 2017, going with a 3.11 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in starts (Rays are), while allowing hitters to bat only .213 against him. Odorizzi carries a 6-3 record with a 3.12 ERA in 15 interleague starts into this game.
The pick: Cincinnati starting pitchers are 0-6 with an 8.29 ERA during the Reds' nine-game losing streak and Feldman's road owes (5.58 ERA and 1.60 WHIP) hardly give us any reason to think Cincy's pitching will improve. Let's also note that the right-handed Feldman faces a Tampa Bay lineup which owns the second-best record in the AL against right-handed starters (29-19) and the second-worst mark in the AL against lefties (8-16). Make Tampa Bay an 8* play.
