Rogers' *10* TOP TOTALS TICKET >> Already 19-10-1 This Week!
(NFL) Los Angeles vs. New Orleans,
Total: 46.00 | -105.00 Over
Result: Loss
The set-up: The NFL's No. 1 overall pick of the 2016 draft, Jared Goff, made is NFL debut last Sunday, making his first start. The Rams seemingly had their game with the Dolphins in hand last week (led 10-0 with under six minutes left in the contest). Goff played a very small part in LA getting that lead (17 of 31 for just 134 yards) and two dramatic late TD drives by Ryan Tannehill washed it all away, as the Dolphins escaped with a 14-10 victory.The 4-6 Rams travel to New Orleans in Week 12 to take the the 4-6 Saints, who have lost close games the last two weeks to last year's two Super Bowl participants. The Saints first lost 25-23 to the Broncos at home on the blocked return of a late extra-point try and then fell 23-20 at Carolina.

Los Angeles: Goff said he thought things went relatively well in his debut. "Felt good," he said. "We're obviously disappointed with the result there at the end and how things turned out, and how we felt through the whole game and how in control we were." However, this will be hits first road start. RB Todd Gurley had a 24-yard scoring run last Sunday and but he finished with just 76 yards on 20 carries. He has not topped 85 yards in a game all season, as the Rams average just 84.5 YPG rushing (29th) on the season (3.3 YPC). The team's 14.9 PPG average is the worst in the NFL and its 299.9 YPG ranks 31st of 32 teams. However, the defense ranks sixth in yards allowed (318.3 per) and 7th in points allowed (14.9 PPG).

New Orleans: The ageless Drew Brees is completing 71.0 percent for an NFL-leading 316.8 YPG (Brees has thrown for 300 yards four times on the season and surpassed 400 yards twice) with 26 TDs and 8 INTs, giving him a 106.4 QB rating. Brees just seems to "make it work." Third-year WR Cooks was a No. 1 pick (51 catches with 6 TDs) and Ohio St. rookie Thomas was a second round pick (56 catches and 5 TDs) but Snead was an undrafted FA out of Ball St. and he's got 46 catches with 4 TDs. The Saints have averaged 422.0 YPG (2nd) and 28.5 PPG (4th) but the defense gives it all back, allowing 28.6 PPG (30th) on 382.8 YPG (27th).

The pick: Brees vs. Goff is a "no contest," especially here in the Superdome, where Brees is usually unstoppable (15-4 ratio with a 112.8 QB rating at home in 2016). However, that LA defense just doesn't give up. The Rams have already won twice this season without scoring a TD, 9-3 at home vs. Seattle in Week 2 and 9-6 at the NY Jets in Week 10. I expect the Saints to win but also will make the Under a 10* play.