The set-up: 3-8 Utah State concludes a very disappointing season with a Saturday night game in Provo against 7-4 BYU, which is headed to a bowl game for the 12th consecutive year. Utah State center Austin Stephens will make his 39th straight start in the last game of his career and like the other 24 seniors in the program, he wants to taste victory one more time before leaving. However, it's Senior Day for BYU and the Cougars figure to be primed to send senior QB Taysom Hill and senior RB Jamaal Williams out in style.

Utah State: The Aggies will see their own bowl streak of five in a row end here in 2016. The offense averages a so-so 25.2 PPG with the defense allowing 29.5. Utah State has seen much success in its season, as it sits in last-place in the Mountain West's Mountain Division at 1-7 (only school with a losing record). The Aggies had lost three games in a row before beating Fresno State at home on Oct. 22, 38-20 but Matt Wells' team has fallen in four straight games since, losing to San Diego State, Wyoming and New Mexico before it was taken down 38-37 by Nevada last weekend, which rallied from a 13-point deficit in the final seven minutes and scored the game-winning TD with five seconds remaining.

BYU was 4-4 after eight games, winning by 2, 2, 17 and seven points (in OT), while losing by 1, 3, 3 and 1 point. QB Hill has passed for 2,22 yards with 11 TDs and run for 554 yards with eight scores. RB Williams has run for 1,034 yards and 10 TDs, topping 1,000 yards for the second time in his four years at BYU. The defense has been solid all season, allowing just 20.3 PPG, to rank 18th.

The pick: BYU leads the all-time series over Utah State, 47-35-3, after winning last year's matchup 51-28 in Logan. Yes, Utah State hasn't won in more than month (Oct 22nd, to be exact), but as noted the vast majority of BYU games have been close. Take the big points with Utah State and make the Aggies a 10* play.