PREMIUM
Rogers' *10* TOTAL DOMINATION
(NFL) Baltimore vs. NY Giants,
Total: 44.50 | -103.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 44.50 | -103.00 Under
Result: Win
The set-up: Baltimore Ravens opened 3-0 but those three victories came by just a combined 13 points. The Ravens have since lost back-to-back games 28-27 and 16-10 at home to the Raiders and Redskins, respectively. The Giants know how they feel, as after edging the Cowboys 20-19 in Week 1 at Dallas, the Giants just got past the Saints back in New Jersey, 16-13. However, like the Ravens, the Giants have struggled after a good start, losing three in a row (29-27 at home to Washington, then 24-10 at Minnesota and 23-16 at Green Bay). Clearly, the loser of this game will have a tough road ahead the rest of the season.
Baltimore: The Ravens decided to fire offensive coordinator Marc Trestman following that 16-10 loss at home to Washington last week and promoted QBs coach Marty Mornhinweg, who has previous experience as an NFL offensive coordinator with Philadelphia and the New York Jets. "Marty is an exciting guy," QB Joe Flacco told reporters. "He brings a lot of confidence to the room. He is very sure in what he's doing and what we're doing. We'll be a little more confident going forward in shoring things up and doing what we do best." Mornhinweg is expected to put more emphasis on the running game in an effort to open up more play-action passes, as Flacco enters Week 6 leading the NFL in passing attempts with 216 but is 31st among 32 qualifying QBs with an average of 5.94 YPA. He has connected with receivers on only 12 passes of 20 or more yards. Baltimore's running game NEEDS to improve, as the Ravens are averaging just 99.0 YPG on 4.1 YPC.
NY Giants: Eli opened the season with three TD passes in a win over the Cowboys (still, Dallas' lone loss of 2016) but has just two TD passes in four games since, while attempting 159 passes. OBJ finally had his first TD catch last week but enters with just that one among his 27 receptions through five games. The Giants rushing attack is worse than Baltimore's averaging 83.6 YPG (27th) on only 3.8 YPC. New York fans surely never thought this team would be averaging only 17.8 PPG (27th) through five games.
The pick: The Giants are averaging just 17.8 PPG and the Ravens just 18.8 but the over/number number is higher than I anticipated. All of Baltimore's games have been decided by six points or less and this team still owns a stingy defense, ranking 3rd in total defense (266.8 YPG) and 6th in points allowed (17.6 PPG). The Under is a 10* play.
Baltimore: The Ravens decided to fire offensive coordinator Marc Trestman following that 16-10 loss at home to Washington last week and promoted QBs coach Marty Mornhinweg, who has previous experience as an NFL offensive coordinator with Philadelphia and the New York Jets. "Marty is an exciting guy," QB Joe Flacco told reporters. "He brings a lot of confidence to the room. He is very sure in what he's doing and what we're doing. We'll be a little more confident going forward in shoring things up and doing what we do best." Mornhinweg is expected to put more emphasis on the running game in an effort to open up more play-action passes, as Flacco enters Week 6 leading the NFL in passing attempts with 216 but is 31st among 32 qualifying QBs with an average of 5.94 YPA. He has connected with receivers on only 12 passes of 20 or more yards. Baltimore's running game NEEDS to improve, as the Ravens are averaging just 99.0 YPG on 4.1 YPC.
NY Giants: Eli opened the season with three TD passes in a win over the Cowboys (still, Dallas' lone loss of 2016) but has just two TD passes in four games since, while attempting 159 passes. OBJ finally had his first TD catch last week but enters with just that one among his 27 receptions through five games. The Giants rushing attack is worse than Baltimore's averaging 83.6 YPG (27th) on only 3.8 YPC. New York fans surely never thought this team would be averaging only 17.8 PPG (27th) through five games.
The pick: The Giants are averaging just 17.8 PPG and the Ravens just 18.8 but the over/number number is higher than I anticipated. All of Baltimore's games have been decided by six points or less and this team still owns a stingy defense, ranking 3rd in total defense (266.8 YPG) and 6th in points allowed (17.6 PPG). The Under is a 10* play.
