Rogers' Coach's Clinic
(NFL) Los Angeles vs. Detroit,
Point Spread: -3.00 | -108.00 Detroit (Home)
Result: Push
The set-up: The 2-3 Lions host the 3-2 Rams in Week 6. Detroit snapped a three-game losing streak last Sunday with a 24-23 home victory over the previously unbeaten Philadelphia Eagles, despite gaining just 45 yards in the second half. In direct contrast, the Rams had a three-game winning streak snapped in a 30-19 loss to the Bills, despite the fact that QB Case Keenum threw for a season-high 271 yards.

Detroit: The Lions average 23.8 PPG (12th) but have failed to find any consistency on offense. I noted the 45 yards the team gained in the second half of last week's game already and also note that in Week 4, the Lions offense failed to produce a TD the previous week against Bears' injury-riddled defense. QB Matthew Stafford (68.0%, 1378 yards, 10-4 ratio and 99.6 QB rating) had a season-low 180 passing yards last week but did thrown three TD passes for the third time this season. The rushing game ranks 23rd at 89.8 YPG (3.9 YPC) and Detroit just signed veteran Justin Forsett this week (will that really help?).

LA Rams: QB Keenum did throw for 271 yards last week but on the season, LA ranks 30th in passing (202.4 YPG) and 29th in rushing (29th), leaving them 32nd overall (dead-last) in total offense at 284.2 PPG, as well in points scored at 16.4 PPG. The team owns a formidable defensive front but overall the Rams are allowing a middle-of-the-pack 21.2 PPG (14th).

The pick: Even while throwing for a season-high 271 yards last week Keenum threw two interceptions, including a pivotal "pick-six" with the score tied in the third quarter. He's NOT an NFL starter (owns a 75.4 rating)! RB Todd Gurley did have 140 rushing yards and two TDs against Detroit last year but he has yet to have a 100-yard game this season and enters averaging 2.7 YPC. The Lions own a HUGE advantage at the QB position (Stafford over Keenum) and while Detroit's pass D has allowed 14 TD passes, Keenum won't be able to take advantage of the Detroit secondary. LA is also traveling East for an early start time and I expect the Lions to win and win handily. Detroit is an 8* play.