Rogers' 10* NCAAF Total of the MONTH
(NCAAF) Colorado State vs. Boise State,
Total: 60.00 | -101.00 Over
Result: Win
The set-up: Boise State has opened 5-0 (2-0 in MWC play) and hosts 3-3 Colorado State (1-1 in the MWC) on Saturday, having risen to No. 15 in the AP poll (Broncos were unranked at the beginning of the season).

Colorado State: The Rams trailed Utah State last Saturday by 14 points but ended the game on a 21-0 run over the last two-plus quarters for a 31-24 victory. However, freshman QB Collin Hill (1,096 yards with 8 TDs and INTs) was lost for the season with a torn ACL in his left knee. "That's football. You're going to have injuries, you're going to have setbacks, you're going to have some adversity," Rams head coach Mike Bobo said at a press conference. Junior Nick Stevens has regained the starting QB position he lost after a poor season-opening performance by default. However, he wasn't bad in 2015, passing for 2,679 yards and 21 TDs and 12 INTs. CSU is averaging a very modest 24.8 PPG (96th), while the defense is allowing 28.7 PPG (74th).

Boise State: Sophomore QB Brett Rypien is flying under the radar but he's coming off a career-best five TD passes in last week's 49-21 victory over New Mexico despite playing only 2 1/2 quarters. Rypien has passed for 1,415 yards with 11 TDs and 3 INTs, with WRs Sperbeck (19.1 YPC) and Wilson (18.8 YPC) each hauling in 5 TD catches apiece. RB McNichols (558 yards on 5.1 YPC with 9 TDs), leads a so-so running game averaging 154.4 YPG. The defense is allowing a modest 18.6 PPG (19th) on 370.6 YPG (46th).

The pick: Boise State is no longer an elite national program (of years past!) but the weakness of the MWC may allow this team to go undefeated. The Broncos are a big favorite here (around 4 TDs) but they are coming off back-to-back revenge wins over Utah State and New Mexico. Boise St. also has a revenge game up next against BYU on a short week (Thursday, Oct. 20), so the Broncos may be a little flat for this one. The Rams' 21-0 run to seal last Saturday's win against Utah State (on Homecoming, no less), should give the Rams some confidence. This game may be closer that the pointspred indicates but as for me, it's a 10* play on the Under.