Rogers' Friday Night Total MASSACRE >> Over Clemson/BC Last Week!
(NCAAF) Duke vs. Louisville,
Total: 71.50 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
Duke: I guess one can make the case that the Blue Devils won 38-35 in South Bend against Notre Dame, running up 498 totals yards but these days, a win over the Fighting Irish is hardly anything to brag about. Duke (3-3, 0-2 in the ACC) is coming off a 13-6 win over Army, as the two teams played in torrential rain conditions brought on by Hurricane Matthew. QB Daniel Jones completed just 7 of his 15 pass attempts for 41 yards under extremely difficult conditions. However, the QB leads all freshmen nationally in pass completions (132) while ranking second among first-year players in passing yards (1,455) and total offensive yards (1,634) but has more INTs (eight) than TD passes (seven). Duke came into the 2016 season off four consecutive bowl appearances, averaging over 30 PPG each season. However, this year's team is averaging just 24.5 PPG to rank 98th of 128 FBS teams.

Louisville: The Cardinals haven't played since October 1, when they lost 42-36 at Clemson. QB Lamar Jackson failed to account for at least five TDs in a game for the first time this season against Clemson but still accumulated 457 total yards. He ranks second in the country in total yardage (462.6) and leads the nation in rushing TDs (14). He's passed for 1,625 yards (14-4 ratio) and run for 688 yards on 7.5 YPC. Louisville ranks first in both scoring (58.0 PPG) and total yards (659.2 per). The Cardinals' last home game was September 17 (a 63-20 win over Florida State), so this will be the team's first home game in almost a month and its first since losing at Clemson.

The pick: Louisville could have put an early stranglehold on the ACC with a win in Death Valley but Clemson rallied for two fourth-quarter TDs and sealed the win by stopping Louisville a yard short of a FD inside Clemson's five-yard-line with just about 30 seconds to play. Louisville head coach Bobby Petrino told reporters, "We understand we have zero room for error, we've got to take care of our business week in and week out and then maybe we'll still have that opportunity." Duke's D allowed Notre Dame and Virginia to average 34.5 PPG on 482.0 YPG prior to the team's game vs. Army (played in torrential rain conditions). Who knows how many points Jackson and Co. will run up coming off the team's loss to Clemson? Meanwhile, not counting playing in a downpour against Army, Duke's offense averaged 464.0 YPG against ND and UVA. The Over is an 8* play.