PREMIUM
Rogers' Friday Night Total MASSACRE (Clem/BC) >> 67% NCAAF Run!
(NCAAF) Clemson vs. Boston College,
Total: 42.50 | -107.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 42.50 | -107.00 Under
Result: Win
Clemson: The Tigers opened ranked second in the AP preseason poll, right behind Alabama, the team that beat them in last year's CFP championship game. QB Deshaun Watson came into the 2016 season as the Heisman favorite but two games in, a 19-13 win at Auburn and a way closer than expected 30-24 home win over Troy, created angst in Clemson and doubters among poll voters. Clemson routed South Carolina State 59-0 (who cared?) but then rode an outstanding defensive performance to win 26-7 at Ga. Tech, followed by a breakout offensive effort in last Saturday's 42-36 win over then-No.3 Louisville. Watson had his best game of the season with 306 passing yards (5 TDs) and 91 rushing yards, getting the better of Louisville's TD ‘machine' Jackson, who threw for 295 yards (one TD) and ran for 162 yards (two TDs). The now third-ranked Tigers' (5-0, 2-0) victory over Louisville gave them a major leg up in their bid for a second straight ACC Coastal Division title and berth in the conference championship game.
Boston College: The Eagles have stepped down in class the last two weeks, beating Wagner 42-10 and Buffalo 35-3. However, Boston College has to be pleased with its offensive production, averaging 445.0 YPG in those two games, after being held to just 124 yards of offense in a 49-0 loss at Va. Tech on September 17. Kentucky transfer Patrick Towles threw four TD passes with no interceptions in the wins over Wagner and Buffalo, after just two TD passes and four INTs in the first three games of the season. The Eagles lead FBS teams in total defense (202 YPG), including ranking seventh in rushing D (78.0 YPG) plus check in allowing 17.2 PPG on the season, which ranks 16th.
The pick: BC should gain confidence from the fact that the Eagles have covered in each of the last three seasons when playing Clemson but as good as this team's defense has played (last year and again in 2016), the question looms that if Va. Tech can run up 49 points on them (totaling 476 yards), what kind of number can Deshaun Watson and Co. ‘hang' on BC in this one? The Eagles haven't beaten an ACC opponent since the 2014 season finale when they beat Syracuse 28-7 (their ACC losing streak has reached 10 straight!) and they won't win here, either. Meanwhile, Clemson's won 19 straight regular season games, which includes an 11-game streak in ACC play. That said, laying this many points on the road makes me nervous but playing over this reasonably low total is an 8* play. That's the bet.
Boston College: The Eagles have stepped down in class the last two weeks, beating Wagner 42-10 and Buffalo 35-3. However, Boston College has to be pleased with its offensive production, averaging 445.0 YPG in those two games, after being held to just 124 yards of offense in a 49-0 loss at Va. Tech on September 17. Kentucky transfer Patrick Towles threw four TD passes with no interceptions in the wins over Wagner and Buffalo, after just two TD passes and four INTs in the first three games of the season. The Eagles lead FBS teams in total defense (202 YPG), including ranking seventh in rushing D (78.0 YPG) plus check in allowing 17.2 PPG on the season, which ranks 16th.
The pick: BC should gain confidence from the fact that the Eagles have covered in each of the last three seasons when playing Clemson but as good as this team's defense has played (last year and again in 2016), the question looms that if Va. Tech can run up 49 points on them (totaling 476 yards), what kind of number can Deshaun Watson and Co. ‘hang' on BC in this one? The Eagles haven't beaten an ACC opponent since the 2014 season finale when they beat Syracuse 28-7 (their ACC losing streak has reached 10 straight!) and they won't win here, either. Meanwhile, Clemson's won 19 straight regular season games, which includes an 11-game streak in ACC play. That said, laying this many points on the road makes me nervous but playing over this reasonably low total is an 8* play. That's the bet.
