1* free play on TOR@TB to go UNDER the total...

The Toronto Blue Jays come into the 2016 season with lofty expectations. They are the defending AL East champions, and they had a fantastic Spring Training. The Jays will be playing at Tampa on Opening Day, and we could see a pitcher's duel with each team sending their respective ace to the mound. The total is pretty low for an American League game, but I still think the value lies with a play on the under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - The Jays are 0-4 in their last four road games versus a right-handed starter. They've also had plenty of troubles with Chris Archer, who was 3-2 with a 3.11 ERA versus Toronto last year. His career numbers against the Jays are even better, and he also has favorable day/night splits.

2. Batter vs. Pitcher - The Jays top two run producers have really struggled against Archer. Jose Bautista is batting .152 with four strikeouts in 33 career at bats. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .139 over 36 at bats, while Josh Donaldson is 2-for-17 lifetime versus Archer.

3. X-Factor - The under is 4-1-2 in Blue Jays last 7 during game 1 of a series.

Selection: This is a play on the Jays@Rays to go UNDER the total (Free).