1* free play on DUQ@MSU to go UNDER the total...

The Morehead State Eagles will host the Duquesne Dukes in the CBI Tournament on Monday, and the Eagles are on a roll. Morehead State has won eight of their last ten overall, and they are coming off a big road win at Siena. The Dukes though are struggling, coming in as losers of eight of their last 10. The total for tonight's game looks a little inflated, and

I think the value is on a play on the under.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Previous History - While the Dukes struggled to compete within their own conference this season, they've been a good bet in non-conference games. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games, and they've failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 versus non-conference opponents.

2. Let Down Spot - The Dukes scored a whopping 120 points in a shootout win over Omaha in their last game, but I expect them to have a much tougher time here against a Morehead State team that can really play defense. Opponents are scoring just 64.1 points per game on 40.5 percent shooting at Morehead, and the Eagles are 12-2 at home.

3. X-Factor - The Dukes have won just four of 11 road games this season, and they are shooting just 43.1 percent from the field away from home.

Selection: This is a play on the Dukes@Eagles to go UNDER the total (Free)