The slumping Tampa Bay Lightning have lost five of their last six but can salvage a split of a four-game trek with a win at Arizona Coyotes Saturday night. The Yotes are coming off three consecutive wins and upset the Sharks 3-1 Thursday, but I don't like their chances tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Mike Smith - The former Tampa Bay netminder has been excellent after missing 40 games with a lower body injury as he's allowed just one goal in wins against Edmonton and San Jose. He's struggled against his former club though going 2-3-0 with a swollen 3.90 GAA.

2. Road Warriors - The Lightning have won seven of their last 10 on the road and four of the last five meetings with the Yotes at Gila River Arena. Tampa Bay has won 13 of the last 17 in the series overall.

3. X-Factor - Tampa Bay's Steven Stamkos has four goals in the first three games of this road trip and scored one of the goals when Tampa defeated Arizona 2-1 on Feb. 23.

Selection: This is a play on the Tampa Bay Lightning (8*)