The Los Angeles Dodgers will close out the regular-season with a three-game set against the San Diego Padres home at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers may have claimed the division title but are still battling with the Mets for post-season home-field advantage and I think we'll see both sides playing a competitive and high-scoring game tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Padres hand the ball to Casey Kelly (0-1, 9.00 ERA) who will make his third appearance (second start) of the season. He surrendered six runs on six hits in five innings of a 6-3 home-loss to Arizona his last start, which was the first since Sept. 2012. The Dodgers counter with Alex Wood (11-12, 3.89 ERA) who conceded a joint season-high eight runs on 11 hits and a pair of walks over 5 1/3 innings of a 12-5 loss at Colorado his most recent start. The current Padres roster has a combined .303 batting average over 33 at bats versus Wood.

2. Trends - Only one of the Padres' last 27 road games have failed to fly over the total and the over is 13-2-3 in their last 18 during game 1 of a series. The over is 4-1 in the Dodgers' last five when hosting a team with a losing road record.

3. X-Factor - Adrian Gonzalez has 16 RBIs and seven homers over 16 meetings with the Padres this season.

Selection: This is a play on SD@LAD to go over the total (10*)