The Tampa Rays will wrap up the season with a six game home stand, and they won the first game last night by a score of 4-2 in the series opener versus Miami. The Marlins have lost four straight on the road, and they have one of the worst road records in the majors. I like the home favorite here in Tampa tonight.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Rays will hand the ball to Drew Smyly, who is coming off a very strong performance. Smyly (4-2, 3.26 ERA) struck out seven while tossing 6.1 scoreless frames in a win over the Red Sox at Fenway. He's 4-1 with a 3.48 ERA in his last eight starts. The Marlins counter with Jared Cosart, who has a rather swollen 7.31 ERA in six starts on the road this year.

2. Asdrubal Cabrera - The Rays SS hit a two run shot in last night's game that proved to be the difference, and he's swinging a hot bat, hitting .409 with a pair of homers and six RBIs over the last seven days.

3. X-Factor - The Rays have won 16 of their last 22 meetings with Miami.

Selection: This is a play on the Tampa Rays (6*)