The Philadelphia Phillies came into last night's opener of a three-game series at Chase Field filled with confidence after a three-game sweep at San Diego. The Arizona Diamondbacks finished the game a 13-3 winner though and I think the D'backs are looking good to take down tonight's contest as well.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Phillies hand the ball to David Buchanan (2-6, 7.23 ERA) who's struggled all season long and he was roughed up for seven runs on 10 hits in four innings of a 10-8 home loss to the Dodgers his last start. He's 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA in four road starts for the year and 0-5 with a 4.62 ERA in his last nine away from home. The D'backs will counter with Jeremy Hellickson (7-8, 5.06) who's off a pair of road losses allowing a total of 11 runs (10 earned) on 12 hits and six walks in eight innings. He shut out the Brew Crew through six innings of four-run ball his last start at Chase Field though and he's 5-1 with a 2.33 ERA in his last six home outings.

2. Situational - The Phillies are just 18-39 away from home this season and they've lost 10 of Buchanan's last 11 road starts. The D'backs are 5-1 in their last 6 home games against a right-handed starter and they've also won five of their last six as a home favorite.

3. X-Factor - A.J. Pollock was 3-for-5 with a homer last night and he's batting .345 so far in August.

Selection: This is a play on the Arizona Diamondbacks (10*)