The Pittsburgh Pirates might be the hottest team in the major leagues with 12 wins in their last 14 games, but I am betting on the Braves to cool off the Bucs bats in Atlanta tonight. This match-up looks extremely favorable for the home team, and we're getting a great prices as well.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Braves hand the ball to Julio Teheran, who has been brilliant at home in Atlanta. Teheran (4-2, 4.87 ERA) gave up three runs on four hits over six frames in a no decision on the road in his last outing. He's far better at home than he is on the road, with a record of 3-0 with a 1.82 ERA in four starts in Atlanta in 2015. The Pirates counter with Jeff Locke, who has been hit hard on the road this season.

2. Home Cookin' - The Pirates have lost six of their last seven when Locke starts on the road as a favorite, while Atlanta has won four of Teheran's last five home starts.

3. X-Factor - The Pirates are 19-39 in the last 58 meetings in Atlanta, and tonight's umpire has seen the home team prevail in five of his last seven when calling balls and strikes.

Selection: This is a play on the Atlanta Braves (10*)