The Memphis Grizzlies come in to Portland with a 2-0 lead in this series, and they dominated the first two games of this series. Both the first two games were low scoring defensive battles, but history tells us to expect more scoring here in Portland.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Home Cookin' - The Blazers were 32-9 in Portland during the regular season, and the home team has covered the spread in four of the last five meetings in this series. They have seen the total go over in seven straight when returning home from a road trip of seven days or more.

2. LaMarcus Aldridge - While the Grizzlies have dominated this series, Aldridge has averaged 28 points and 14 rebounds against Memphis. He's likely to have a big game tonight, but he'll need some help from Damian Lillard who was 0-for-6 from beyond the arc in Game 2. Who can forget Lillard's series winning shot against the Rockets last year? Certainly we can expect him to step it up at home here in Game 3.

3. X-Factor - With several key players sidelined by injuries, the Blazers need all the help they can get. Help might be on the way, as Arron Afflalo is listed as probable for Game 3.

Selection: This is a play on the Grizzlies@Blazers to go OVER the total.(10*)