The Red Sox are sitting in the top spot in the AL East, with a record of 8-5. They play Game 1 of a three game series versus the Rays in Tampa tonight, and they'll be up against a red hot pitcher. Boston's bats are likely to be silenced tonight, and a play on the under looks good.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - Chris Archer will be on the hill for the home team, coming off a pair of impressive starts. Archer (2-1, 1.37 ERA) has tosses 14 scoreless innings, giving up just three hits in wins over Toronto and Miami on the road. The Red Sox will counter with Wade Miley, who was roughed up by the Nationals in his last start.

2. Batter vs. Pitcher - Mike Napoli is 1-for-12 lifetime versus Archer, while Pablo Sandoval is 0-for-3 versus the right-hander.

3. X-Factor - These two teams have seen the total go under in five of the last six meetings in Tampa.

Selection: This is a play on BOS@TB to go UNDER the total (10*)